Wednesday, June 06, 2007

Wieters Or Bust

Tomorrow's the big day. All I know is that if Matt Wieters is available, which reading the tea leaves seems like a strong possibility, I'm going to be very disappointed if they don't select him.

Wieters is a switch-hitting catcher out of Georgia Tech with a pretty good batting eye and knowledge of the strike zone. Minor league guru John Sickles believes that he's the most completecollege player in the draft.

The reason he'd fall to us is the reason I'd be upset if the Nats don't select him: signability. Wieters is represented by Scott Boras, and is rumored to be wanting a major-league contract and a large signing bonus on the order of $10 million.

A major-league contract would not mean that the team has to carry him on the active roster, but that he'd have to be placed on the 40-man. The downside to the team is that it starts eating away option years, effectively forcing the team to hurry him to the majors, because he'll have less time than other prospects to develop. Now if he's as polished as everyone says, that's not really a problem. But...

Regardless, since day 1, this team has repeatedly explained how they will do what it takes to run a first-rate organization and giving in to Boras' and Wieters' demands (as much as it would annoy me -- and Kasten, no doubtedly!), it would be a good faith effort given the slashing of this year's payroll, and the likely giant wad of cash they'll be rolling in next year, even if they bump the payroll up to the $60-70 million range.

If they really mean what they say, they'll take Wieters if he's available.

  • NFA is high on Wieters, too.

    Kevin Goldstein of BPro
    thinks he'll fall to the Nats.

    So does Bryan Smith.

    We'll find out in about 14 hours.

  • 13 Comments:

    • Don't be getting my hopes up. Shoot, I wouldn't mind the Nationals giving up a two-week cup of coffee to start and then sending him to the minors.

      By Blogger RPS, at 6/06/2007 11:26 PM  

    • I, too, favor Wieters, if only because he went 2-4 with a HR in the lone Cape Cod League game I saw last summer.

      By Anonymous Anonymous, at 6/07/2007 1:30 AM  

    • The key with Wieters is -- if you draft him -- you make sure he doesn't sign until after the season is over; that way we don't burn an option on this year.

      By Blogger Yuda, at 6/07/2007 8:33 AM  

    • Eat a spot on the 40-man for another catcher? We have a reliable catcher today and a young stud catcher already on the 40-man.
      The type of upside you are projecting here seems consistent with Zimmerman's timeline but our Catcher options are much better than a Vinny Castilla equivalent.

      Boras is poison and I bet the Nats pass on Wieters for that reason alone.

      The notion of waiting to sign until after the season is one thing that would make this more palatable.

      By Anonymous Anonymous, at 6/07/2007 8:51 AM  

    • With the number of stiffs we have on the 40-man roster, clearing out room for Wieters should be the least of our problems. Roger Feckin' Bernadina is on the 40-man!?

      I think you have to take the best talent regardless of need, especially with how often these guys flame out. He's pretty much the consensus pick for best college position player.

      If he develops quickly, you can find a spot for him, especially as there are some who think that he's not going to stick at catcher because of his height.

      This isn't football. You don't draft for need. You draft for sheer talent.

      By Blogger Chris Needham, at 6/07/2007 8:54 AM  

    • Re: waiting to sign Wieters (or anyone) after the season ends:

      The new CBA mandates that all draft picks be signed by August 15. No more draft and follow.

      The flip side to that rule: if you fail to sign a pick in the first two rounds, you get a pick one place later in next years draft. (i.e., if the Nats were not able to sign Wieters at #6, they would get the #7 pick in next year's first round.)

      By Anonymous Anonymous, at 6/07/2007 9:06 AM  

    • Off Topic: Anyone else unable to access Yuda?

      By Anonymous Anonymous, at 6/07/2007 9:34 AM  

    • Who is the "young stud" catcher on the 40 man? The guy who the Mets kicked to the curb? Ok, I realize that is overstating it, and I "like" Flores as well, but his presence should not impact ANY personnel decisions.

      Same with Schneider. Yes, he's reliably mediocre, but he's also on the wrong side of 30 and should not be a factor in any decisions.

      By Blogger RPS, at 6/07/2007 9:55 AM  

    • natty fan:

      As a college player, Wieters wouldn't be eligible as a DFE candidate anyway; that only ever applied to high-school players.

      I believe that the Aug. 15 deadline only applies to HS kids as well, although it may also apply to college juniors. I *know* it doesn't apply to seniors.

      By Blogger Yuda, at 6/07/2007 10:16 AM  

    • Can we convert Wieters to 1B in case NJ isn't back to form we when returns?

      By Blogger Scott, at 6/07/2007 10:25 AM  

    • err..."when he returns"

      By Blogger Scott, at 6/07/2007 10:26 AM  

    • John:

      Thanks for the clarifications.

      By Anonymous Anonymous, at 6/07/2007 11:07 AM  

    • Some more research tells me that the only exception to the 8/15 rule is college seniors -- you have until the next draft (I guess) to sign them.

      By Blogger Yuda, at 6/07/2007 11:10 AM  

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