Fouled-Off Bunts: Love Me Tenderless Edition
Yesterday was the deadline for teams to offer their arbitration-eligibles contracts. Those who weren't tendered contracts become free agents. (In short, a player with three to five years of service time (and a few guys with 2+ years that we won't worry about today) are eligible for salary arbitration.
According to MLB.com, the Nats had five arbitration eligibles, offering it to them all. I was working under the assumption that both Jon Rauch and Ryan Wagner were eligible, but it appears that they weren't (I'm guessing that they missed the cutoff -- under that parenthetical 2-year rule -- by a few days). That's good for the Lerners' wallets.
My semi-educated guesses for salaries:
Chad Cordero, $3.5 million
John Patterson, $1 million -- I don't have much of a clue on him. When healthy, he's pitched well, but he's never been healthy!
Felipe Lopez, $4.5 million
Austin Kearns, $4 million
Alex Escobar, $750K (Like Patterson, another tough one to gauge because of the injury problems)
Throw those into what's already on contract and the Nats payroll is in the $40-45 million range for next season.
Other teams throughout the league had to make the same decisions, and the less-than exciting list of new non-tenders is here. We'd be able to make a bid on any of these guys, though most every one of them stinks (or, as in Marcus Giles' case) would fill a need that we just don't have.
I like reading non-fanboy perspectives of the team and getting the outsiders perspective. The Hardball Times takes an in-depth look at our fair team, and wonders what the hell is going on. It's about as fair an overall assessment as you'll see, noting the problems with the pitching and the defense, but with passive praise for the bats. We can quibble with a few points here and there, but his optimistic take is that if things break right (ie: Patterson gives a full '05-like season, Church plays left; Redding gives us something), the team is looking at the low 70s in wins.
Of course, if things don't break, Helllloooo Detroit!
Our friends at nationals.com are back for another beating with their latest mailbag. It seems that the loyal readers don't like the relentlessly negative coverage of Ryan Church and how the team does nothing but pick at his faults, something the writer doesn't seem to really understand. Perhaps he's too close to the situation? OMG tries to explain why the fans might be ticked (and why some of the answers are a bit screwy).
The Nats are looking at Don Sutton for the broadcast booth. Yawn.
The Farm Authority has the rundown of the Nats minor-league coaching carousel. I hope he can get me Tony Tarrasco's autograph!
Instead of pining for what could be, Nats 320 is looking at what is. Here's their look at the pitching staff, and the position players.
There was that bit of news last week about the Nats being interested in Tomo Ohka -- on a below-market deal. That it came two days after an article where the Nats said that even Jamey Wright was out of their price range led me to believe that it was more public posturing than anything. Now that the Cardinals are rumored to be bidding on him, along with several other teams, it's about as likely as we thought it would be when we read that depressing WaPo piece last week. I'm about as likely to have Kasten over for tea and crumpets.
According to MLB.com, the Nats had five arbitration eligibles, offering it to them all. I was working under the assumption that both Jon Rauch and Ryan Wagner were eligible, but it appears that they weren't (I'm guessing that they missed the cutoff -- under that parenthetical 2-year rule -- by a few days). That's good for the Lerners' wallets.
My semi-educated guesses for salaries:
Chad Cordero, $3.5 million
John Patterson, $1 million -- I don't have much of a clue on him. When healthy, he's pitched well, but he's never been healthy!
Felipe Lopez, $4.5 million
Austin Kearns, $4 million
Alex Escobar, $750K (Like Patterson, another tough one to gauge because of the injury problems)
Throw those into what's already on contract and the Nats payroll is in the $40-45 million range for next season.
Other teams throughout the league had to make the same decisions, and the less-than exciting list of new non-tenders is here. We'd be able to make a bid on any of these guys, though most every one of them stinks (or, as in Marcus Giles' case) would fill a need that we just don't have.
Of course, if things don't break, Helllloooo Detroit!
9 Comments:
Tony Tarrasco? Did anyone see the story in the post last spring about Jeffrey Maier (the Yankee fan that reached over the fence in the 1997 ALCS)? The kid is now through with college and was being scouted by several teams including the O's. How weird would it have been if Maier was drafted by the Nats and would play under Tony Tarrasco in Vermont?
By Anonymous, at 12/13/2006 12:26 PM
Jeffrey Maier was NOT drafted last June and has given up on a pro career as a player. He is now trying to get hired in baseball administration.
By Anonymous, at 12/13/2006 2:49 PM
I find it interesting that a player who you were so eager to hand the keys to the franchise to (Patterson) is only worth $1 million now in your book. Still think he's an ace in the making?
By WinwithZimm, at 12/13/2006 4:27 PM
You still haven't figured out how baseball works, have you?
That's not a value of his worth. That's simply how much he's likely to make because he's not able to shop his services around.
By Chris Needham, at 12/13/2006 4:31 PM
Since you are so confident in your baseball knowledge, care to make a wager that Cordero gets significantly more then $3.5 million? Greg Gagne, he of the 2 appearances made last year, just got $6 million from the Rangers. If it comes to arbitration, arbiters look at market salaries - they don't pull numbers out of the air.
By WinwithZimm, at 12/13/2006 4:45 PM
And yes, I meant Eric in the last post, not Greg
By WinwithZimm, at 12/13/2006 4:47 PM
They compare them to players with similar levels of service time. He'll be compared to Brad Lidge, Kelvin Escobar and the other young closers of the last few years, and what they made their first years under arbitration.
Free Agent salaries probably do pull arbitration up a bit, but you're comparing apples to oranges, as you were trying to do by saying that I only 'valued' Patterson at $1 million.
By Chris Needham, at 12/13/2006 4:51 PM
Err. Not Escobar, Francisco Rodriguez.
By Chris Needham, at 12/13/2006 4:54 PM
Time to pop the champaigne, St. Barry is reporting that Vidro and $12 of his $16 million are going to Seattle!
By Anonymous, at 12/13/2006 7:50 PM
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