Friday, March 28, 2008

Previews Galore

You can read my thoughts on the entire NL East at Baseball Analyst's Two on Two preview. You can also get a bit of an outsider's perspective on the Nats (hint: they suck), too.

I also answered some questions about our beloved team for our friends at Phillies Nation. Check it out!


  • That Baseball Analysts conversation was pretty even-handed and fair. Although, I'd argue you all gave too much credit to the Braves.

    Speaking of fair... ESPN released their predictions for this season, and their "analysts" have done a pretty good job. There aren't any 120 loss estimates this year.
    The low prediction is 72-90, the high is 75-87, and all put us in 4th place in the NL East.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 3/28/2008 1:55 PM  

  • “Matt Chico (91 ERA+), Hanrahan (70 ERA+) and Tim Redding (career 88 ERA+) are all probably middle relievers at best on other teams.”

    I thought that Marc was a little unfair listing Redding’s career ERA+ when last year he was a fair bit above average, as opposed to the other two who were both rookies.

    By Blogger Ironic Goat, at 3/28/2008 2:42 PM  

  • You're right in that it's not the best metric to use.

    But at the same time, Redding pitched WAY over his head given his K/BB/HR ratios. He was a bit lucky to escape with an ERA as low as it was.

    The average pitcher who pitches like that is going to have an ERA closer to 5 than 3-something.

    By Blogger Chris Needham, at 3/28/2008 2:45 PM  

  • Yea, but we can drea? And in my dream, in October, there is a front page ESPN article with a photo of Redding, Hill, Bergman, Lannan, and Detweiler. The headline reads “The only questions is, which do you call the Ace?” But you know, in a good way, and not in the way you can ask that question today.

    Also, why do people always bring up the Belliard and Young signing? Is it because they get us confused with the with the Pirates and the Marlins. Sure, we overpaid, but not crippling so. And prospect wise, sorta like with Soriano, I never heard any prospective names.

    In regards to your playoff comments on Phillies Nation, don’t you a number of injuries to other teams could have the nats in it in say, at least, June? Pedro, Smoltz, Moyer, Hernandez, Delgado, Beltran, Alou, Chipper and some others. I know that is a lot of guys but its also a lot of post 35 guys.

    By Blogger Ironic Goat, at 3/28/2008 3:10 PM  

  • If EVERYTHING breaks right, the Nats could win in the mid-80s.

    That would've been enough last year, but I think Atlanta and NY are better than last year, too.

    You never know what's going to happen, of course, but I'd put the odds at all of that at something like 2-4%. C'mon snakeeyes!

    By Blogger Chris Needham, at 3/28/2008 3:13 PM  

  • Chris, after all the non-stop winter/spring analytics, it's nice to see a little unabashed fan show through. Opening night, 1 day away!

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 3/28/2008 11:07 PM  

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