Wednesday, November 30, 2005

Assembling The Pieces

Although the offseason is just beginning, it's important to assess where we are, and what the team's needs are. Let's take a look at the roster, and see where the holes are, and, more importantly, how much we have to plug them.

STARTING PITCHERS
Livan Hernandez -- $8 MM
John Patterson -- $350K (MAY be Aribitration Eligible as a Super-2)
Brian Lawrence -- $3.2 MM (Salary actually higher, but SD is paying the rest)
Ryan Drese -- $1.75 MM
TBD
TOTAL: $13.3 MM + TBD pitcher

RELIEVERS
Chad Cordero -- $350K
Luis Ayala -- $1MM?? (Arbitration Eligible)
Gary Majewski -- $350K
Jon Rauch -- $350K
Carrasco (or veteran) -- $1 MM??
Minor Leaguer (Bergmann? Hughes?)-- $350K
TOTAL: $3.4 MM

CATCHERS
Brian Schneider -- $3 MM (Arbitration Eligible, Made $2 MM)
Backup -- $1 MM (Bennett made $750K)
TOTAL: $4 MM

INFIELD STARTERS
Nick Johnson -- $2.5 MM (Arbitration Eligible, Made $1.45 MM)
Jose Vidro -- $7 MM
Cristian Guzman -- $4.2 MM
Ryan Zimmerman -- $350K
TOTAL: $14.05 MM

OUTFIELD STARTERS
Jose Guillen -- $4 MM
Brad Wilkerson -- $5 MM (Arbitration Eligible, Made $3.05 MM)
Ryan Church -- $350K
TOTAL: $9.35 MM

BACKUPS
Damian Jackson -- $700 K
Marlon Anderson -- $900 K
Marlon Byrd -- $400 K (MAY be Arbitration-Eligible)
Terrmel Sledge -- $350K
TOTAL: $2.35 MM


OVERALL
$46.45 MM for 24 slots.

If the team is content with 11 pitchers, they'd presumably take an extra infielder like Brendan Harris for the league minimum.

Last season the team wound up with a payroll of around $55 MM. There's no indication that they'll go higher than that this season, which would leave the team about $8.5 MM to play with. Obviously, the arbitration numbers I posted were guestimates. I tried to do it on the high side, but arbitration is a wacky process.

Vidro's contract really sticks out. As does Wilkerson's (give the production he put out last season). There's a lot of interest in Wilkerson, and if there was a way that Bowden could get someone to take Vidro along with Wilkerson, the $12 MM or so would greatly help the team's payroll flexibility. (Now is there someone willing to take on that much money? PLEASE?)

Hypothetically, they could throw some cash in that package with Vidro, sign Encarnacion (you know Bodes wants to), re-sign Junior Spivey, and have enough cash left over to bring in Burnett. But that'd require a lot of willing dance partners.

Regardless, $8 Million should be enough to buy a Matt Morris or a Paul Byrd. It might even be enough for AJ Burnett on a back-loaded deal.

What would you do with the money?

6 Comments:

  • Backloaded deals, huh? That's an interesting thought.

    I wonder if those types of things come up in the ballyhooed "interviews" with the ownership contenders. I mean, I recognize the value of one's sovereignty and freedom to sign players of one's own choice (as opposed to hand-me-downs), but I do wonder if any groups said, "Hey, you know what? If someone really good comes along, I'll front a bit more at the back end. I'm good for it. And it would help the team to create some excitement in the meantime."

    ---Basil

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 11/30/2005 2:39 PM  

  • I would think that the back-loaded deal wouldn't need approval though.

    Next year, there'll be quite a bit of money coming off the books:
    Guillen -- 4
    Drese -- 1.75
    Lawrence -- 3.5

    Of course most of that will go towards arbitration-eligible raises...

    But by then we'll have a little more flexibility.

    By Blogger Chris Needham, at 11/30/2005 2:43 PM  

  • "But by then we'll have a little more flexibility."

    Optimist.

    By Blogger Nate, at 11/30/2005 3:17 PM  

  • Anything set of moves that puts Guz at the top of the heap for position players gets the thumbs up from me.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 11/30/2005 6:33 PM  

  • Given the way this offseason is shaping up, I'd spend the money on trying to stock young talent. The more I think about it, the Nats are years away from being serious contenders because of the horrible farm system situation. Sure, we could buy a Paul Byrd type guy but he'll only be around to tread water for a few years. Why not try to offer some contracts to younger guys from other clubs?

    By Blogger Brandon, at 12/01/2005 4:36 PM  

  • How about trading Bowden and the extra cash to the Red Sox for their scoreboard attendant.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 12/02/2005 10:34 AM  

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